Tuesday, 25 September 2012

Weather: Internet Predictions Vs Reality

Over the next week I'll be looking at real time information, mostly BBC Weather results and seeing how accurate they are.

BBC Weather


  • Wednesday: 12-16 degrees. Early morning showers then sunny spells throughout the day.
  • Reality Check: everywhere was damp, so there probably was rain before I awoke. And the sun did come out.
  • Thursday: 12-15 degrees. Generally rather cloudy with outbreaks of rain, perhaps heavy at times, but becoming drier during the afternoon with some bright or sunny spells developing later.
  • Reality Check: One light shower in the morning and another a few hours later. Not enough to say 'outbreaks of rain'. It did dry up eventually, but the sun barely came out.
  • Friday:   Staying unsettled with a good deal of cloud for most of the time and further rain or showers, too, perhaps more persistent and heavy at times. Near normal temperatures.    
  • Reality Check: Very cloudy, no rain, average temperature (12-16 degrees).

  • Saturday:Staying unsettled with a good deal of cloud for most of the time and further rain or showers, too, perhaps more persistent and heavy at times. Near normal temperatures.
  • Reality Check: Sun came out, no rain, average temperature, very cold.

  • Sunday:Staying unsettled with a good deal of cloud for most of the time and further rain or showers, too, perhaps more persistent and heavy at times. Near normal temperatures.
  • Reality Check: Rain pretty much all day, sunny, average temperature, humid.


    The Weather Channel (http://uk.weather.com/weather/10day-Bedford-UKXX0014)

  • Wednesday: 11 degrees. cloudy and rainy
  • Reality Check: everywhere was damp, so there probably was rain before I awoke. And the sun did come out.

  • Thursday: 9-14 degrees. Cloudy, sunny and rainy.
  • Reality Check: One light shower in the morning and another a few hours later. Not enough to say 'outbreaks of rain'. It did dry up eventually, but the sun barely came out.

  • Friday: 8-14 degrees. Cloudy.
  • Reality Check: Very cloudy, no rain, average temperature (12-16 degrees).

  • Saturday: 8-14 degrees. Mostly cloudy with a bit of sun.
  • Reality Check: Sun came out, no rain, average temperature, very cold.

  • Sunday: 9-14 degrees. Rainy.
  • Reality Check:  Rain pretty much all day, sunny, average temperature, humid.


    Conclusion: The BBC predictions became less acurate as the days become further away. However the information it gives is rich in quantity and relatively good quality compared to uk.weather.com.
     uk.weather.com provides many statistics but fails to explain them thoroughly. The short hand forcasts are vague and inferior compared to the BBCs forecast. Overall, the BBC website is usefull to people who  aren't familiar with weather related linguistics.

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